{"id":5984,"date":"2025-03-18T11:30:51","date_gmt":"2025-03-18T16:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.butler.edu\/butler360\/?p=5984"},"modified":"2025-03-18T11:30:51","modified_gmt":"2025-03-18T16:30:51","slug":"march-madness-2025-top-first-round-upset-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.butler.edu\/butler360\/2025\/03\/18\/march-madness-2025-top-first-round-upset-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"March Madness 2025: Top First-Round Upset Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the 2025 NCAA Men&#8217;s Basketball Tournament tips off, fans and analysts are already speculating about potential first-round upsets. Historically, No. 12 vs. No. 5 seed matchups have produced some of the most thrilling surprises, and this year is shaping up to be no different. Here\u2019s a look at three games that could shake up the March Madness bracket and send higher seeds packing.<\/p>\n<p><strong>UC San Diego vs. Michigan (No. 12 vs. No. 5)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The UC San Diego Tritons (30-4) enter the tournament riding a 15-game winning streak, one of the longest in the nation. Their top-30-ranked defense thrives on forcing turnovers, a factor that could disrupt Michigan\u2019s offensive rhythm.<\/p>\n<p>Adding to Michigan\u2019s potential struggles, the Wolverines have had the least amount of rest of any team, having just secured the Big Ten Tournament title. A quick turnaround could leave them vulnerable against a red-hot Tritons squad.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key Players to Watch:<\/strong><br \/>\nAniwaniwa Tait-Jones (UC San Diego, G): Senior leader averaging 19.5 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game.<br \/>\nVladislav Goldin (Michigan, C): The junior center is Michigan\u2019s leading scorer, tasked with both anchoring the defense and generating offense in the paint.<br \/>\nWith momentum, defensive efficiency, and Michigan\u2019s fatigue factor in play, UC San Diego has all the ingredients for a major March Madness upset.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Drake vs. Missouri (No. 11 vs. No. 6)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Drake Bulldogs (30-3) are one of the most consistent mid-major teams in the tournament. Known for their grind-it-out playing style, Drake brings tournament experience and a disciplined approach that could spell trouble for Missouri.<\/p>\n<p>Under coach Dennis Gates, Missouri has had an up-and-down season but thrives in fast-paced, high-energy matchups. The contrast between Missouri\u2019s run-and-gun offense and Drake\u2019s methodical, slow-tempo game makes this a classic clash of styles.<\/p>\n<p>Drake, winners of the Missouri Valley Conference, rank 364th in Adjusted Tempo, making them one of the slowest-paced teams in the tournament. This deliberate style and defensive discipline could neutralize Missouri\u2019s athleticism and turn this game into a low-scoring battle\u2014perfect conditions for an upset.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Colorado State vs. Memphis (No. 12 vs. No. 5)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Another No. 12 seed to watch is Colorado State (25-8), a team surging into the tournament with 10 consecutive wins, including a Mountain West Tournament championship.<\/p>\n<p>The Rams are an elite shooting team, averaging 1.1 points per possession and excelling at controlling the game\u2019s tempo. Meanwhile, Memphis (29-5) has been inconsistent, suffering losses to Temple and Arkansas State despite key wins over Michigan State and Ole Miss.<\/p>\n<p>One major storyline in this matchup is the uncertainty surrounding Memphis star guard Tyrese Hunter. If he is unavailable or limited, the Tigers could struggle against a well-rounded and disciplined Colorado State squad.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key Factors:<\/strong><br \/>\nBetting Odds: Despite being the lower seed, Colorado State is a slight 2.5-point favorite.<br \/>\nStar Player: Nique Clifford (Colorado State, G) leads the Rams in scoring, assists, and defensive rebounding.<br \/>\nPace of Play: Memphis plays a high-scoring, fast-paced game, while Colorado State\u2019s slower, efficient offense could dictate the tempo.<br \/>\nFinal Thoughts: Can These Underdogs Pull Off the Upset?<br \/>\nEvery March Madness bracket has surprises, and these matchups have all the makings of major first-round upsets. With UC San Diego\u2019s defensive dominance, Drake\u2019s strategic control, and Colorado State\u2019s momentum, each of these teams has a strong case for advancing past higher-seeded opponents.<\/p>\n<p>As the 2025 NCAA Tournament unfolds, keep an eye on these potential Cinderella stories\u2014because in March Madness, anything can happen.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the 2025 NCAA Men&#8217;s Basketball Tournament tips off, fans and analysts are already speculating about potential first-round upsets. Historically, No. 12 vs. No. 5 seed matchups have produced some of the most thrilling surprises, and this year is shaping up to be no different. Here\u2019s a look at three games that could shake up [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9198453,"featured_media":5986,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[11891],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"lwhitehead\"\/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.butler.edu\/butler360\/2025\/03\/18\/march-madness-2025-top-first-round-upset-predictions\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" 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